As of September 2, 2026, the prediction market “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 4%, No 96%. Total traded volume is $40.5M. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of top Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy winning traders with one tap.