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Markets | Polyman

Markets

Fed Decision in July?

Vol $132.5MOI $36.4M

Expires Jul 28, 2026 08:00 PM ET

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Vol $173KOI $75K

Expires Jul 29, 2026 07:59 PM ET

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Vol $1.5MOI $365K

Expires Aug 3, 2026 08:00 PM ET

NBA: 2027 Champion

Vol $13.0MOI $604K

Expires Jun 30, 2027 08:00 PM ET

GPT-6 released by…?

Vol $775KOI $186K

Expires Aug 30, 2026 08:00 PM ET

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 28¢No 73¢

Vol $3.0MOI $1.0M

Expires Jan 1, 2027 12:00 AM ET

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?

Vol $15.4MOI $3.4M

Expires Jul 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Where will Vinicius Junior transfer?

Vol $178KOI $49K

Expires Sep 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

Vol $6.6MOI $1.2M

Expires Jul 24, 2026 07:59 PM ET

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

Yes 6¢No 94¢

Vol $27KOI $16K

Expires Oct 21, 2026 08:00 PM ET

South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

Vol $457KOI $173K

Expires Aug 10, 2026 08:00 PM ET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Vol $10.7MOI $1.7M

Expires Jul 31, 2026 07:59 PM ET

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

Vol $11.5MOI $2.7M

Expires Aug 18, 2026 07:59 PM ET

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Vol $23.5MOI $2.0M

Expires Oct 30, 2026 08:00 PM ET

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Vol $30.3MOI $782K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Vol $8.6MOI $1.1M

Expires Apr 29, 2026 08:00 PM ET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Yes 10¢No 91¢

Vol $3.9MOI $1.7M

Expires Aug 30, 2026 08:00 PM ET

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Yes 7¢No 93¢

Vol $396KOI $576K

Expires Aug 15, 2026 07:59 PM ET

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Vol $7.6MOI $250K

Expires Aug 31, 2026 07:59 PM ET

Brazil Presidential Election

Vol $116.5MOI $4.0M

Expires Oct 3, 2026 08:00 PM ET

Next French Presidential Election

Vol $116.6MOI $833K

Expires Apr 29, 2027 08:00 PM ET

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Vol $681.9MOI $9.5M

Expires Nov 6, 2028 07:00 PM ET

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Vol $673.6MOI $52.7M

Expires Nov 6, 2028 07:00 PM ET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Vol $8.9MOI $3.0M

Expires Nov 2, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 3¢No 97¢

Vol $17.2MOI $1.7M

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

Vol $228KOI $75K

Expires Sep 29, 2026 08:00 PM ET

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Vol $1.4MOI $221K

Expires Aug 31, 2026 07:59 PM ET

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Yes 5¢No 96¢

Vol $156KOI $34K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Yes 31¢No 70¢

Vol $953KOI $409K

Expires Jan 2, 2027 07:00 PM ET

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Vol $393KOI $36K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 6¢No 94¢

Vol $3.0MOI $2.9M

Expires Jun 30, 2026 07:55 PM ET

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

Vol $152KOI $66K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Vol $2.7MOI $885K

Expires Jan 1, 2027 07:00 AM ET

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 13¢No 88¢

Vol $2.3MOI $740K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 6¢No 95¢

Vol $36.3MOI $9.1M

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Yes 29¢No 71¢

Vol $568KOI $132K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Yes 18¢No 83¢

Vol $68KOI $5K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

OpenAI IPO by...?

Vol $2.7MOI $275K

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Vol $1.2BOI $10.6M

Expires Nov 6, 2028 07:00 PM ET

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Yes 13¢No 87¢

Vol $67KOI $11K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 14¢No 86¢

Vol $1.6MOI $148K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Vol $937KOI $211K

Expires Jan 1, 2027 07:00 AM ET

California Governor Election Winner

Vol $40.5MOI $724K

Expires Nov 2, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Yes 17¢No 84¢

Vol $62KOI $4K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Vol $8.2MOI $559K

Expires Sep 29, 2026 08:00 PM ET

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Yes 93¢No 7¢

Vol $313KOI $58K

Expires Dec 30, 2026 07:00 PM ET