Polyman

Prediction markets, with traders scored.

Scores describe past activity. Prediction markets carry risk.

Up/Down

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Trades from traders we track

R
RJW1
Score91
2m ago

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?

YES33¢
$38K
$100→$307.69+208%
J
Jsram
Score85
2m ago

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

UNDER42¢
$27K
$100→$240.96+141%
W
Wiretransferxyz
Score83
10m ago

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

HEROIC67¢
$100→$150.38+50%
B
BreakTheBank
Score84
39m ago

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

YES9¢
$100→$1,176+1076%
B
BreakTheBank
Score100
43m ago

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

NO10¢
$10.5M
$100→$1,053+953%
T
timetowander
Score86
57m ago

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

YES63¢
$100→$160.00+60%
N
ndb1
Score88
58m ago

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

NO91¢
$7.7M
$100→$110.50+10%
J
justwins
Score96
1h ago

Saints vs. Giants

GIANTS50¢
$253K
$100→$202.02+102%
0
0x2c33...0563
Score84
1h ago

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS51¢
$100→$198.02+98%
D
dromedaryy
Score86
2h ago

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

YES19¢
$100→$540.54+441%
F
flawfence
Score87
3h ago

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

NO74¢
$100→$136.05+36%
Q
qiu3
Score100
4h ago

Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs

100 THIEVES84¢
$824K
$100→$119.76+20%
J
justwins
Score86
4h ago

Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5

OVER53¢
$100→$190.48+90%
S
surfandturf
Score95
5h ago

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

YES28¢
$4.3M
$100→$360.36+260%
D
dromedaryy
Score88
7h ago

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

YES10¢
$100→$1,053+953%
S
Siddhartha1
Score84
10h ago

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?

NO59¢
$100→$170.94+71%
justdance
Score100
10h ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?

NO97¢
$134K
$100→$103.47+3%
E
eventalpha26
Score100
14h ago

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

NO23¢
$21.4M
$100→$431.97+332%
D
dromedaryy
Score83
16h ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?

NO7¢
$361K
$100→$1,538+1438%
E
eventalpha26
Score88
18h ago

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES24¢
$100→$425.53+326%

Big Movers

See all

Fed Decision in October?

No change
25 bps increase
Vol $44.7MExpires Oct 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 18
October 22
October 24
October 28
October 31
November 8
November 15
November 22
November 30
December 31
Vol $15.0MExpires Oct 31, 2026 07:59 PM ET

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Vol $185.2MExpires Oct 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance
Marco Rubio
Tucker Carlson
Vol $712.6MExpires Nov 7, 2028 11:59 PM ET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 18
October 21
October 31
November 15
November 30
December 31
Vol $36.0MExpires Oct 31, 2026 04:29 PM ET

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?

22%chance
Vol $72KExpires Oct 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen
Édouard Philippe
David Lisnard
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Raphaël Glucksmann
Vol $152.3MExpires Apr 18, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep
R Senate, D House
Republicans Sweep
Vol $24.4MExpires Nov 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?

90-114
115-139
Vol $558KExpires Oct 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%
Lula da Silva <4%
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%
Vol $2.0MExpires Oct 25, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

No Hormuz Agreement
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
Vol $1.0MExpires Nov 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 82,500
↓ 80,000
↑ 85,000
↓ 77,500
↑ 87,500
↓ 75,000
↑ 90,000
↓ 72,500
↑ 92,500
↓ 70,000
↑ 95,000
↓ 67,500
Vol $7.9MExpires Nov 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party
Republican Party
Vol $18.2MExpires Nov 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot
Benjamin Netanyahu
Naftali Bennett
Vol $47.1MExpires Oct 27, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Gavin Newsom
Jon Ossoff
Kamala Harris
Josh Shapiro
Pete Buttigieg
Andy Beshear
Vol $1.3BExpires Nov 7, 2028 11:59 PM ET