As of October 10, 2026, the prediction market “Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 1%, No 99%. Total traded volume is $2.3M. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy traders with one tap.