As of October 1, 2026, the prediction market “Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 4%, No 96%. Total traded volume is $2.1M. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of top Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy winning traders with one tap.