Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

As of June 14, 2026, the prediction market “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 51%, No 50%. Total traded volume is $6.4M. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of top Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy winning traders with one tap.