Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

As of July 4, 2026, the prediction market “Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 51%, No 50%. Total traded volume is $1.9M. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of top Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy winning traders with one tap.