As of October 1, 2026, the prediction market “Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 1%, No 99%. Total traded volume is $644K. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of top Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy winning traders with one tap.