Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

As of August 3, 2026, the prediction market “Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 7%, No 94%. Total traded volume is $2.3M. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of top Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy winning traders with one tap.