As of September 13, 2026, the prediction market “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 8%, No 93%. Total traded volume is $295K. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of top Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy winning traders with one tap.