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As of July 30, 2026, the prediction market “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 21%, No 80%. Total traded volume is $70. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of top Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy winning traders with one tap.