As of August 14, 2026, the prediction market “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 99%, No 1%. Total traded volume is $1.9M. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of top Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy winning traders with one tap.