Iran leadership change by December 31?

As of July 8, 2026, the prediction market “Iran leadership change by December 31?” is tracked on Polyman with these live implied probabilities from Polymarket odds: Yes 16%, No 85%. Total traded volume is $3.1M. This market is open for trading. Polyman shows real-time odds, the positions of top Polymarket traders in this market, and lets you copy winning traders with one tap.